Southport vs United of Manchester analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.6%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
24.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
LEA
0 - 1
SOU
47%
25%
28%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2017 |
BRA
1 - 2
SOU
36%
24%
40%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
SOU
4 - 0
BOS
50%
23%
28%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Jul. 2017 |
SOU
0 - 0
WIG
16%
22%
62%
|
37 | 61 | 24 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
SOU
1 - 1
LIN
15%
22%
64%
|
36 | 59 | 23 | +1 |
Matches
United of Manchester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
UNM
1 - 2
KID
31%
25%
44%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2017 |
UNM
2 - 3
SPE
29%
24%
48%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
BRA
2 - 1
UNM
60%
22%
18%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 2017 |
UNM
1 - 2
FLE
21%
25%
54%
|
41 | 62 | 21 | -2 |
| 28 Jul. 2017 |
UNM
0 - 1
BOL
17%
22%
61%
|
41 | 64 | 23 | 0 |