Southport vs Torquay United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.8%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.5%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.6%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
61.5%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.7%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2021 |
HAL
1 - 2
SOU
65%
20%
16%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2020 |
SOU
2 - 2
CUR
64%
20%
17%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
SPE
2 - 2
SOU
67%
18%
15%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2020 |
MAR
0 - 1
SOU
57%
22%
21%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
GUI
4 - 2
SOU
54%
23%
23%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Torquay United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2021 |
GUL
1 - 2
ALT
59%
22%
19%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
BAR
0 - 2
GUL
16%
21%
63%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2021 |
GUL
0 - 0
SUT
56%
23%
21%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2021 |
NOT
0 - 0
GUL
48%
25%
28%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2021 |
BOR
0 - 4
GUL
39%
25%
37%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +1 |