Southport vs Sutton United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
52.5%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
SOU
1 - 0
CHE
27%
25%
48%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
GUI
2 - 1
SOU
53%
23%
24%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2016 |
SOL
4 - 0
SOU
65%
20%
15%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
SOU
1 - 2
BRO
44%
24%
32%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | -2 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
NOR
0 - 1
SOU
59%
22%
19%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Sutton United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
SUT
2 - 1
FOR
32%
25%
42%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
SUT
4 - 1
WOK
58%
22%
20%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2016 |
DOV
3 - 1
SUT
49%
26%
26%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
SUT
1 - 0
GUI
75%
17%
8%
|
52 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
EAS
2 - 1
SUT
51%
25%
25%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -1 |