Southport vs Kidderminster Harriers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.5%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
21.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
LEA
1 - 0
SOU
37%
27%
37%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2020 |
BRA
1 - 1
SOU
66%
21%
13%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
HER
2 - 2
SOU
30%
26%
45%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | -2 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
SOU
3 - 3
BRA
77%
14%
9%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
GLO
0 - 1
SOU
30%
26%
45%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Kidderminster Harriers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
KID
0 - 1
YOR
24%
24%
52%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
GAT
0 - 0
KID
72%
18%
10%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2020 |
FAR
0 - 1
KID
62%
21%
17%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
KID
1 - 1
DAR
31%
24%
46%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
KIN
0 - 2
KID
81%
14%
6%
|
35 | 52 | 17 | +2 |