Southport vs Guiseley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
21.2%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2019 |
SOU
0 - 0
CUR
74%
17%
9%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
GAT
0 - 0
SOU
49%
25%
26%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2019 |
MAR
0 - 2
SOU
21%
24%
56%
|
44 | 28 | 16 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 2019 |
BAL
0 - 1
SOU
77%
15%
8%
|
43 | 57 | 14 | +1 |
| 12 Jul. 2019 |
WID
0 - 2
SOU
15%
19%
67%
|
43 | 22 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Guiseley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2019 |
BRA
0 - 5
GUI
45%
25%
30%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
GUI
3 - 0
KIN
24%
23%
54%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | +3 |
| 27 Jul. 2019 |
HYD
4 - 0
GUI
50%
23%
27%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2019 |
GUI
6 - 0
SOU
21%
23%
57%
|
35 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2019 |
PAR
0 - 4
GUI
16%
19%
66%
|
35 | 16 | 19 | 0 |