Southport vs Gateshead analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.2%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.4%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
44.6%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
LUT
5 - 1
SOU
75%
16%
9%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2011 |
ALF
0 - 0
SOU
72%
18%
11%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
SOU
2 - 2
LIN
55%
22%
23%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
KET
3 - 1
SOU
45%
25%
30%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -2 |
| 25 Apr. 2011 |
SOU
1 - 1
DAR
37%
27%
36%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Gateshead
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
GAT
1 - 1
KET
55%
24%
21%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2011 |
GAT
3 - 0
MAN
43%
26%
32%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
KID
2 - 3
GAT
54%
23%
23%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
GAT
1 - 7
NEW
39%
27%
35%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -2 |
| 25 Apr. 2011 |
MAN
3 - 2
GAT
47%
24%
29%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |