Southport vs Darlington FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.3%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
34.1%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+62%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
SOU
2 - 3
ALT
32%
25%
43%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
YOR
3 - 1
SOU
51%
25%
25%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2021 |
SOU
3 - 2
SPE
24%
23%
53%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | +2 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
SPE
0 - 0
SOU
70%
17%
13%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2021 |
SOU
1 - 0
CHO
31%
24%
45%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Darlington FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
DAR
1 - 1
LEA
49%
25%
26%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
CHO
2 - 1
DAR
45%
25%
30%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
DAR
1 - 0
HER
53%
24%
23%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
DAR
3 - 0
AFC
59%
22%
19%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
DAR
1 - 2
YOR
37%
25%
38%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | -1 |