Southport vs Chorley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.5%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
34.2%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
SOU
3 - 2
CHE
46%
24%
30%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2021 |
SOU
3 - 0
DAR
41%
25%
34%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | +2 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
SOU
2 - 3
ALT
32%
25%
43%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | -2 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
YOR
3 - 1
SOU
51%
25%
25%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2021 |
SOU
3 - 2
SPE
24%
23%
53%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
Chorley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
CHO
2 - 1
FAR
58%
23%
20%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2021 |
CHO
1 - 1
KID
49%
25%
25%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
GUI
0 - 0
CHO
42%
25%
33%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
CHO
2 - 1
DAR
45%
25%
30%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
BLY
0 - 2
CHO
25%
24%
51%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | +1 |