Southport vs Alfreton Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
27.4%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
GAT
2 - 2
SOU
51%
24%
26%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2013 |
SOU
0 - 2
NEW
35%
24%
41%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
SOU
1 - 3
KID
33%
25%
42%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2013 |
TAM
2 - 1
SOU
38%
25%
37%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
EBB
4 - 1
SOU
32%
24%
44%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Alfreton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
ALF
0 - 2
LIN
63%
19%
18%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
BRA
2 - 1
ALF
48%
25%
28%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
ALF
3 - 2
GAT
54%
22%
24%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2013 |
ALF
3 - 0
EBB
62%
19%
19%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
TAM
1 - 1
ALF
41%
25%
34%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |