Southern United vs Honiara City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.7%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.3%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.6%
53.6%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+87%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southern United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2021 |
LAU
6 - 0
SOU
75%
15%
11%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2021 |
SOU
1 - 8
HEE
17%
16%
67%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
REA
2 - 1
SOU
50%
20%
30%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2021 |
HEE
8 - 0
SOU
84%
10%
6%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
MAR
2 - 1
SOU
66%
17%
17%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Honiara City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2021 |
HOC
0 - 0
KFC
73%
16%
11%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2021 |
ISA
2 - 2
HOC
64%
18%
18%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
LAU
4 - 1
HOC
43%
22%
35%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
REA
2 - 1
HOC
21%
19%
60%
|
27 | 16 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2021 |
SOL
5 - 0
HOC
60%
18%
22%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -2 |