Southern District vs Sham Shui Po analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.2%
Win probability
2.97
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.3%
5-0
5%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.5%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.4%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
11.2%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.2%
5.6%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southern District
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2023 |
KFC
0 - 0
SDI
65%
20%
16%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
EAS
3 - 2
SDI
58%
22%
21%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
WTP
1 - 0
SDI
33%
25%
42%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
WAR
3 - 2
SDI
62%
22%
17%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
SDI
4 - 1
RES
74%
16%
10%
|
61 | 45 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Sham Shui Po
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
WAR
3 - 1
SHA
86%
11%
4%
|
39 | 68 | 29 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2023 |
BIU
4 - 3
SHA
77%
15%
8%
|
39 | 58 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
KFC
5 - 1
SHA
87%
10%
3%
|
39 | 66 | 27 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
SHA
0 - 1
RES
34%
25%
41%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
SHA
1 - 0
HKU
33%
22%
45%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | +1 |