Southend United vs Stoke City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.1%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
37.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southend United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 1997 |
MAC
3 - 0
SOU
69%
20%
11%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1997 |
SOU
0 - 0
IPS
34%
27%
40%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1997 |
SOU
2 - 1
CRY
26%
26%
49%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 1997 |
POR
2 - 1
SOU
65%
21%
14%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1997 |
SHE
3 - 0
SOU
69%
20%
11%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 1997 |
STO
2 - 1
OXF
47%
27%
26%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1997 |
WOL
2 - 0
STO
52%
25%
22%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 1997 |
STO
1 - 2
BOL
30%
27%
44%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1997 |
STO
1 - 2
NOR
44%
27%
29%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 1997 |
CHA
1 - 2
STO
47%
27%
26%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |