Southend United vs Stevenage analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.2%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
41.6%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southend United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2011 |
SOU
4 - 0
BRA
56%
24%
20%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
POR
1 - 1
SOU
46%
26%
28%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2011 |
STA
3 - 1
SOU
61%
21%
18%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
SOU
0 - 0
ALD
49%
25%
26%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
STO
2 - 1
SOU
29%
25%
47%
|
56 | 39 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Stevenage
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
STE
2 - 2
ALD
62%
22%
16%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
STO
2 - 2
STE
16%
24%
60%
|
64 | 41 | 23 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
STE
2 - 1
BRA
71%
19%
10%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
MAC
0 - 4
STE
27%
27%
45%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2011 |
BUR
0 - 2
STE
30%
27%
43%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | +1 |