Southend United vs Hereford United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.7%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
27.4%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southend United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2011 |
CRE
1 - 0
SOU
51%
24%
25%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
LIN
2 - 1
SOU
33%
27%
40%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2011 |
SOU
2 - 2
GIL
42%
26%
32%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
MOR
2 - 1
SOU
38%
26%
36%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
SOU
1 - 1
NOR
49%
25%
26%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Hereford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
HER
1 - 2
BAR
56%
24%
20%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2011 |
STE
0 - 1
HER
63%
21%
15%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
HER
0 - 3
BCF
32%
27%
41%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
OXF
0 - 2
HER
54%
25%
21%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2011 |
HER
1 - 1
NOR
38%
27%
36%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |