National League . Jor. 30

Southend United vs Eastleigh analysis

Southend United Eastleigh
50 ELO 47
-8.8% Tilt -4.4%
3072º General ELO ranking 3797º
107º Country ELO ranking 133º
ELO win probability
51.7%
Southend United
25.3%
Draw
23%
Eastleigh

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.7%
Win probability
Southend United
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
23%
Win probability
Eastleigh
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Southend United
+8%
-16%
Eastleigh

Points and table prediction

Southend United
Their league position
Eastleigh
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
69
20º
67
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Wrexham AFC
111
111
100%
Notts County
107
107
100%
Chesterfield
84
84
100%
Woking
82
82
100%
Barnet
74
74
100%
Boreham Wood
72
72
100%
Bromley
71
71
100%
Southend United
69
69
100%
Eastleigh
67
67
100%
Dagenham & Redbridge
10º
63
63
10º
100%
FC Halifax Town
11º
61
61
11º
0%
Oldham Athletic AFC
12º
61
61
12º
0%
Gateshead
14º
59
60
13º
0%
Wealdstone
13º
60
60
14º
0%
Solihull Moors
15º
58
58
15º
100%
Dorking Wanderers
16º
57
57
16º
100%
Altrincham
17º
56
56
17º
100%
Aldershot Town
18º
53
53
18º
100%
York City
19º
51
51
19º
100%
Maidenhead United
20º
50
50
20º
100%
Torquay United
21º
48
48
21º
100%
Yeovil Town
22º
40
40
22º
100%
Scunthorpe United
23º
34
34
23º
100%
Maidstone United
24º
25
25
24º
100%
Expected probabilities
Southend United
Eastleigh
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Next round
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Southend United
Eastleigh
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Southend United
Southend United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Jan. 2023
SOU
Southend United
2 - 1
Darlington FC
DAR
43%
25%
32%
51 48 3 0
07 Jan. 2023
SOU
Southend United
3 - 0
Solihull Moors
SOL
38%
27%
35%
50 51 1 +1
01 Jan. 2023
BRO
Bromley
0 - 0
Southend United
SOU
45%
26%
29%
50 50 0 0
26 Dec. 2022
SOU
Southend United
0 - 1
Bromley
BRO
41%
26%
32%
50 49 1 0
20 Dec. 2022
SOU
Southend United
2 - 0
Boreham Wood
BOR
35%
27%
39%
49 52 3 +1

Matches

Eastleigh
Eastleigh
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Jan. 2023
EAS
Eastleigh
1 - 0
Braintree Town
BRA
44%
25%
31%
46 44 2 0
07 Jan. 2023
WEA
Wealdstone
3 - 1
Eastleigh
EAS
37%
25%
38%
47 43 4 -1
01 Jan. 2023
EAS
Eastleigh
4 - 0
Dorking Wanderers
DOR
34%
24%
42%
45 47 2 +2
26 Dec. 2022
DOR
Dorking Wanderers
1 - 1
Eastleigh
EAS
59%
20%
20%
45 47 2 0
20 Dec. 2022
WOK
Woking
0 - 2
Eastleigh
EAS
58%
22%
21%
44 50 6 +1
X