Premier League . Jor. 21

Southampton vs Newcastle analysis

Southampton Newcastle
85 ELO 81
-5.8% Tilt 15.7%
127º General ELO ranking 23º
20º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
52.1%
Southampton
24.2%
Draw
23.6%
Newcastle

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.2%
Win probability
Southampton
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
23.6%
Win probability
Newcastle
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Southampton
+7%
-6%
Newcastle

ELO progression

Southampton
Newcastle
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Southampton
Southampton
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Mar. 2022
ASV
Aston Villa
4 - 0
Southampton
SOU
36%
24%
40%
86 84 2 0
02 Mar. 2022
SOU
Southampton
3 - 1
West Ham
WHU
31%
26%
44%
85 88 3 +1
25 Feb. 2022
SOU
Southampton
2 - 0
Norwich City
NOR
55%
24%
21%
85 79 6 0
19 Feb. 2022
SOU
Southampton
2 - 0
Everton
EVE
37%
26%
38%
84 85 1 +1
12 Feb. 2022
MUD
Manchester United
1 - 1
Southampton
SOU
62%
21%
17%
84 91 7 0

Matches

Newcastle
Newcastle
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Mar. 2022
NEW
Newcastle
2 - 1
Brighton & Hove Albion
BHA
42%
27%
31%
81 83 2 0
26 Feb. 2022
BRE
Brentford
0 - 2
Newcastle
NEW
43%
25%
32%
81 81 0 0
19 Feb. 2022
WHU
West Ham
1 - 1
Newcastle
NEW
66%
20%
15%
80 88 8 +1
13 Feb. 2022
NEW
Newcastle
1 - 0
Aston Villa
ASV
35%
26%
39%
80 83 3 0
08 Feb. 2022
NEW
Newcastle
3 - 1
Everton
EVE
26%
25%
49%
79 85 6 +1
X