Southampton vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.3%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.3%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
69.9%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
13.2%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
13.4%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.6%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 2018 |
SOU
1 - 2
WHU
32%
25%
42%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
HUR
1 - 3
SOU
30%
28%
43%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
SOU
3 - 2
ARS
17%
21%
62%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
CAR
1 - 0
SOU
33%
27%
40%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2018 |
TOT
3 - 1
SOU
79%
15%
7%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2018 |
LEI
2 - 1
MAC
18%
22%
60%
|
92 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
MAC
2 - 3
CRY
86%
10%
4%
|
92 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2018 |
LEI
1 - 1
MAC
18%
23%
60%
|
92 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
MAC
3 - 1
EVE
75%
15%
10%
|
92 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2018 |
MAC
2 - 1
HOF
62%
19%
19%
|
92 | 87 | 5 | 0 |