Southampton vs Liverpool analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.8%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.4%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
70.3%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
12%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21%
0-3
9%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.9%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.2%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 2020 |
SOU
0 - 0
WHU
41%
25%
35%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2020 |
FUL
0 - 0
SOU
24%
25%
52%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
SOU
0 - 1
MAC
16%
21%
64%
|
84 | 92 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2020 |
ARS
1 - 1
SOU
64%
20%
16%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
SOU
3 - 0
SHE
58%
22%
19%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 2020 |
NEW
0 - 0
LIV
8%
15%
77%
|
93 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2020 |
LIV
1 - 1
WBA
87%
10%
3%
|
93 | 76 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
CRY
0 - 7
LIV
8%
16%
75%
|
92 | 82 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2020 |
LIV
2 - 1
TOT
62%
20%
18%
|
92 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
FUL
1 - 1
LIV
7%
14%
79%
|
92 | 74 | 18 | 0 |