Southampton vs Liverpool analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.2%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.9%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.9%
67.9%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
13.3%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.9%
0-3
8.9%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.6%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
BHA
0 - 1
SOU
44%
26%
30%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
SOU
2 - 1
TOT
14%
20%
66%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
MUD
3 - 2
SOU
71%
19%
10%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2019 |
SOU
2 - 0
FUL
60%
23%
18%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
ARS
2 - 0
SOU
72%
18%
11%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
LIV
2 - 1
TOT
59%
21%
20%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
FUL
1 - 2
LIV
7%
16%
77%
|
92 | 69 | 23 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2019 |
BYM
1 - 3
LIV
63%
20%
17%
|
91 | 94 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
LIV
4 - 2
BUR
80%
14%
6%
|
91 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
EVE
0 - 0
LIV
23%
23%
54%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | 0 |