Southampton vs Crystal Palace analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.2%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
14.3%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
WBA
1 - 0
SOU
38%
26%
37%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
SOU
0 - 2
LIV
29%
24%
47%
|
86 | 91 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2015 |
SOU
0 - 0
WHU
60%
22%
19%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
QPR
0 - 1
SOU
24%
26%
51%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
SOU
0 - 1
SWA
60%
21%
19%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Crystal Palace
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
WHU
1 - 3
CRY
61%
22%
17%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
CRY
1 - 2
ARS
15%
22%
64%
|
79 | 91 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
CRY
1 - 2
LIV
15%
20%
65%
|
79 | 90 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2015 |
CRY
1 - 1
NEW
41%
27%
32%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
LEI
0 - 1
CRY
51%
25%
24%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |