Southampton vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.8%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
25.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2021 |
SOU
1 - 3
ARS
27%
25%
48%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2021 |
SOU
1 - 0
ARS
25%
25%
50%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2021 |
SOU
2 - 0
STF
80%
15%
5%
|
84 | 59 | 25 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
LEI
2 - 0
SOU
52%
25%
23%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2021 |
SOU
1 - 0
LIV
12%
18%
70%
|
84 | 93 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2021 |
BUR
3 - 2
ASV
43%
26%
31%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2021 |
ASV
2 - 0
NEW
53%
23%
24%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2021 |
MAC
2 - 0
ASV
85%
10%
4%
|
81 | 93 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2021 |
ASV
1 - 4
LIV
10%
18%
72%
|
81 | 92 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2021 |
MUD
2 - 1
ASV
71%
18%
11%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | 0 |