Southampton vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.4%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.5%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.2%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
51.4%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
15.7%
0-3
5%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
SOU
0 - 6
CHL
16%
22%
62%
|
85 | 93 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
LEE
1 - 1
SOU
30%
24%
46%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
SOU
1 - 4
MAC
8%
17%
75%
|
85 | 96 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
SOU
1 - 2
WAT
60%
23%
18%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2022 |
SOU
1 - 2
NEW
52%
24%
24%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
ARS
1 - 2
BHA
68%
20%
12%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2022 |
CRY
3 - 0
ARS
21%
24%
55%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
ASV
0 - 1
ARS
26%
24%
51%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2022 |
ARS
0 - 2
LIV
18%
21%
61%
|
90 | 95 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
ARS
2 - 0
LEI
46%
24%
30%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |