South Park FC vs Heybridge Swifts analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.5%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.5%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
40.5%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Park FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2014 |
SOU
0 - 5
FOL
34%
24%
42%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
SOU
3 - 1
EAS
82%
12%
6%
|
27 | 13 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
CHE
1 - 5
SOU
54%
22%
24%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | +3 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
SIT
0 - 2
SOU
56%
22%
22%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
SOU
2 - 2
HYT
53%
21%
26%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Heybridge Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
HEY
2 - 4
WAR
58%
20%
22%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2014 |
HEY
2 - 4
HAR
37%
24%
40%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | -2 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
HEY
6 - 3
HER
64%
20%
16%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2014 |
HEY
2 - 4
DER
57%
20%
22%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
GRE
1 - 0
HEY
13%
19%
68%
|
35 | 17 | 18 | -2 |