South Park FC vs Herne Bay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.4%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
18.3%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Park FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2017 |
SOU
1 - 5
HAS
35%
24%
42%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
WAL
3 - 5
SOU
44%
22%
34%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2017 |
EAS
5 - 3
SOU
22%
22%
56%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | -2 |
| 03 Apr. 2017 |
SOU
3 - 0
CHA
87%
9%
4%
|
27 | 11 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
TOO
2 - 0
SOU
68%
18%
14%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Herne Bay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
HER
0 - 0
DOR
13%
21%
66%
|
19 | 38 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
HER
0 - 5
GRE
16%
19%
65%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2017 |
CRA
2 - 1
HER
60%
20%
21%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
CAR
4 - 1
HER
64%
19%
18%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
HER
2 - 0
MOL
54%
21%
25%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | +1 |