South Park FC vs Guernsey analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.6%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
36.2%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Park FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
CHA
0 - 1
SOU
18%
20%
62%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2016 |
SOU
2 - 4
EAS
73%
17%
10%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
SOU
1 - 0
THR
58%
21%
21%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2016 |
LEW
1 - 3
SOU
49%
24%
28%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
SOU
1 - 4
LEI
19%
22%
59%
|
24 | 42 | 18 | -2 |
Matches
Guernsey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
LEW
1 - 0
GUE
46%
24%
31%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2016 |
GUE
4 - 1
WAL
29%
22%
49%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | +3 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
GUE
5 - 1
HER
44%
24%
33%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2016 |
TOO
2 - 2
GUE
73%
16%
11%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
CAR
2 - 1
GUE
64%
19%
17%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |