South Melbourne vs Kingston City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.7%
Win probability
3.23
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.9%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.3%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.3%
4-0
9%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.8%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.8%
9.6%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.6%
4.7%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Melbourne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2017 |
SOU
2 - 0
BEN
50%
24%
26%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2017 |
SOU
0 - 2
AVH
83%
11%
6%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2017 |
PAS
2 - 0
SOU
20%
23%
57%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | -2 |
| 26 Jul. 2017 |
SOU
1 - 0
EDG
51%
23%
26%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
HUM
1 - 2
SOU
26%
24%
50%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Kingston City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2017 |
HEU
4 - 0
KIN
83%
11%
6%
|
24 | 42 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
AVH
1 - 0
KIN
59%
20%
21%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2017 |
KIN
0 - 1
AVH
51%
22%
28%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2017 |
POR
0 - 4
KIN
60%
20%
21%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | +2 |
| 17 Jul. 2017 |
KIN
2 - 0
BUL
42%
23%
35%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | +1 |