South Melbourne vs Hume City FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.9%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
31.6%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Melbourne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
STA
1 - 4
SOU
15%
19%
67%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2022 |
SOU
2 - 0
MEL
51%
23%
26%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2022 |
BEN
2 - 3
SOU
60%
21%
19%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | +2 |
| 17 Feb. 2022 |
SOU
3 - 1
HEU
29%
23%
48%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | +2 |
| 12 Nov. 2021 |
SOU
0 - 3
MCI
3%
9%
88%
|
26 | 77 | 51 | 0 |
Matches
Hume City FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
HUM
0 - 3
AVH
25%
26%
49%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2022 |
DAC
2 - 1
HUM
20%
21%
59%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | -2 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
HUM
3 - 3
POR
55%
23%
22%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
ALM
0 - 0
HUM
14%
19%
67%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2021 |
HUM
0 - 1
MCI
4%
11%
86%
|
38 | 77 | 39 | 0 |