South Melbourne vs Green Gully Cavaliers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.2%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
35.1%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.6%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Melbourne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2021 |
DAN
4 - 1
SOU
55%
21%
24%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2021 |
SOU
1 - 2
ALM
72%
16%
12%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2021 |
SOU
0 - 1
POR
39%
24%
37%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | -2 |
| 22 May. 2021 |
SOU
1 - 1
BEN
33%
24%
44%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | +2 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
AVH
2 - 0
SOU
72%
16%
12%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Green Gully Cavaliers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2021 |
GRE
4 - 0
ALM
73%
15%
12%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2021 |
GRE
1 - 3
OAK
33%
24%
43%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Jun. 2021 |
HEU
1 - 0
GRE
62%
20%
18%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2021 |
GRE
2 - 2
DAN
55%
21%
24%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2021 |
POR
2 - 0
GRE
43%
24%
33%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | -1 |