South Hobart vs Northern Rangers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
93.4%
Win probability
3.76
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.6%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.7%
8-0
1.5%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.8%
7-0
3.3%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
3.9%
6-0
6.1%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
7.5%
5-0
9.7%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
12.5%
4-0
12.9%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
17.4%
3-0
13.8%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.9%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.6%
5%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
2.4%
2-2
0.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
5%
1.5%
Win probability
0.41
Expected goals
0-1
0.6%
1-2
0.5%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
1.2%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Hobart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2018 |
OLY
1 - 4
SOU
13%
15%
72%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2018 |
SOU
4 - 2
LAU
83%
11%
7%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2018 |
DEV
1 - 0
SOU
27%
20%
53%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 2018 |
SOU
7 - 0
CLA
96%
3%
1%
|
34 | 7 | 27 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2018 |
DEV
1 - 0
SOU
23%
19%
58%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Northern Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2018 |
KIN
5 - 2
NOR
44%
22%
34%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2018 |
DEV
7 - 0
NOR
88%
9%
3%
|
11 | 30 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2018 |
CLA
2 - 4
NOR
22%
19%
60%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2018 |
NOR
0 - 4
LAU
17%
18%
65%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2018 |
HOB
6 - 0
NOR
89%
8%
3%
|
12 | 24 | 12 | -1 |