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Australia Second Division. T-League, Matchday 17

South Hobart vs Northern Rangers analysis

South Hobart Northern Rangers
28 ELO 17
190% Tilt 151%
5247º General ELO ranking 17296º
23º Country ELO ranking 165º
ELO win probability
69.8%
South Hobart
12.4%
Draw
17.8%
Northern Rangers

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.8%
Win probability
South Hobart
4.27
Expected goals
11-0
<0%
12-1
<0%
+11
<0%
10-0
0.1%
11-1
0.1%
12-2
<0%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.2%
11-2
0.1%
12-3
<0%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.4%
10-2
0.2%
11-3
0.1%
12-4
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.8%
9-2
0.5%
10-3
0.2%
11-4
<0%
+7
2.1%
6-0
1%
7-1
1.5%
8-2
1%
9-3
0.4%
10-4
0.1%
11-5
<0%
+6
4.1%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
1.9%
8-3
0.8%
9-4
0.2%
10-5
<0%
+5
6.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
3.1%
7-3
1.5%
8-4
0.5%
9-5
0.1%
10-6
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
4.3%
6-3
2.5%
7-4
0.9%
8-5
0.2%
9-6
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
5%
5-3
3.5%
6-4
1.5%
7-5
0.4%
8-6
0.1%
9-7
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
0.5%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
4.1%
5-4
2.1%
6-5
0.7%
7-6
0.2%
8-7
<0%
+1
15.1%
12.4%
Draw
0-0
0.1%
1-1
1.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
3.8%
4-4
2.5%
5-5
1%
6-6
0.3%
7-7
0.1%
8-8
<0%
0
12.4%
17.8%
Win probability
Northern Rangers
2.43
Expected goals
0-1
0.3%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
2.3%
4-5
1.2%
5-6
0.4%
6-7
0.1%
7-8
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
1.1%
4-6
0.5%
5-7
0.1%
6-8
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.5%
4-7
0.2%
5-8
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.2%
4-8
0.1%
5-9
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
4-9
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
3-9
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
South Hobart
+239%
-18%
Northern Rangers

Points and table prediction

Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Devonport City
58
58
100%
Hobart Zebras
50
50
100%
South Hobart
48
48
100%
Olympia FC Warriors
27
27
100%
Launceston City
23
23
100%
Kingborough Lions
21
21
100%
Clarence United
11
11
100%
Northern Rangers
6
6
100%
Expected probabilities
South Hobart
Northern Rangers
Champion
0% 0%
Final season
100% 0%
Mid-table
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 100%

ELO progression

South Hobart
SOU
Northern Rangers
NOR
Kingborough Lions
KIN
Launceston City
LAU
Devonport City
DEV
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

South Hobart
South Hobart
1%
X%
2%
ELO SOU ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Jul. 2016
SOU
South Hobart
1 - 1
Devonport City
DEV
46%
27%
26%
355 288 67 0
10 Jul. 2016
OLY
Olympia FC Warriors
1 - 3
South Hobart
SOU
41%
28%
31%
353 287 -66 +2
02 Jul. 2016
CLA
Clarence United
1 - 3
South Hobart
SOU
41%
28%
31%
351 234 -117 +2
26 Jun. 2016
SOU
South Hobart
0 - 1
Hobart Zebras
HOB
48%
27%
26%
352 272 80 -1
18 Jun. 2016
DEV
Devonport City
2 - 0
South Hobart
SOU
41%
28%
31%
354 279 -75 -2

Matches

Northern Rangers
Northern Rangers
1%
X%
2%
ELO NOR ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Jul. 2016
NOR
Northern Rangers
0 - 6
Olympia FC Warriors
OLY
46%
27%
28%
237 285 -48 -3
09 Jul. 2016
NOR
Northern Rangers
2 - 5
Hobart Zebras
HOB
46%
27%
28%
239 275 -36 -2
02 Jul. 2016
NOR
Northern Rangers
0 - 1
Launceston City
LAU
48%
27%
26%
240 153 87 -1
25 Jun. 2016
DEV
Devonport City
5 - 0
Northern Rangers
NOR
47%
27%
26%
243 281 38 -2
18 Jun. 2016
OLY
Olympia FC Warriors
3 - 0
Northern Rangers
NOR
47%
27%
26%
245 288 43 -2