South Hobart vs Kingborough Lions analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.1%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.6%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.2%
14.7%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Hobart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
SOU
2 - 1
LAU
87%
9%
4%
|
46 | 26 | 20 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
SOU
1 - 0
ROF
92%
6%
2%
|
45 | 16 | 29 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
SOU
1 - 2
DEV
36%
23%
42%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
GLE
1 - 3
SOU
33%
23%
44%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | +2 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
LUS
3 - 4
SOU
7%
11%
82%
|
44 | 7 | 37 | 0 |
Matches
Kingborough Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
KIN
6 - 1
LUS
91%
6%
3%
|
36 | 9 | 27 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
DEV
4 - 1
KIN
70%
18%
13%
|
36 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
GLE
4 - 2
KIN
51%
21%
28%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
KIN
1 - 2
LAU
82%
11%
7%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
KIN
3 - 0
CZF
93%
5%
2%
|
36 | 13 | 23 | +1 |