South Coast Wolves vs NZ Knights analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.6%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
13.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Coast Wolves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2004 |
SOU
4 - 1
SFC
57%
22%
21%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
NZK
1 - 1
SOU
30%
24%
46%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2004 |
SOU
1 - 1
MEL
56%
22%
22%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2003 |
SOU
2 - 3
SOU
57%
22%
21%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2003 |
SOU
3 - 3
MAR
53%
24%
24%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
NZ Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
NZK
1 - 1
SOU
30%
24%
46%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2004 |
MEL
1 - 0
NZK
58%
22%
20%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2004 |
PER
4 - 0
NZK
74%
16%
10%
|
59 | 77 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2003 |
NZK
1 - 2
PAP
30%
26%
45%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2003 |
NZK
0 - 1
SYD
43%
26%
31%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |