South China AA vs Sunray Cave analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.8%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
26.9%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South China AA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2003 |
SCA
1 - 1
SHS
45%
25%
31%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
KFC
1 - 0
SCA
65%
20%
15%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2003 |
SCA
3 - 1
FIR
64%
20%
15%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
SCA
1 - 0
NAN
43%
25%
32%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +2 |
| 23 Dec. 2000 |
SCA
1 - 3
JUB
40%
24%
36%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Sunray Cave
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2003 |
NAN
0 - 0
SUN
50%
24%
27%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2003 |
SUN
1 - 1
XIA
46%
25%
30%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2003 |
FUK
2 - 2
SUN
28%
26%
47%
|
61 | 45 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2003 |
FIR
0 - 2
SUN
35%
25%
39%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2003 |
SUN
0 - 2
HVA
49%
24%
27%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |