South China AA vs Sham Shui Po analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.6%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.1%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
16.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.5%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.4%
7%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South China AA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
SCA
4 - 2
WTP
65%
20%
15%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
SHS
1 - 1
SCA
18%
18%
64%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2012 |
SCA
4 - 0
HON
76%
17%
7%
|
67 | 45 | 22 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
SHS
2 - 4
SCA
27%
23%
50%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2012 |
CAA
3 - 3
SCA
19%
22%
60%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Sham Shui Po
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
PFC
4 - 1
SHA
82%
12%
6%
|
46 | 64 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
TMS
0 - 0
SHA
58%
23%
19%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
PFC
3 - 0
SHA
76%
16%
9%
|
45 | 62 | 17 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
CAA
1 - 0
SHA
66%
20%
14%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
HON
0 - 1
SHA
51%
23%
26%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +1 |