South China AA vs Citizen AA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.8%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
21.1%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South China AA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
SCA
2 - 3
DOU
61%
21%
19%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
SCA
0 - 0
HON
42%
22%
36%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
SHA
3 - 2
SCA
31%
24%
45%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
EAD
1 - 2
SCA
18%
21%
60%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
SCA
1 - 2
MUT
59%
21%
21%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Citizen AA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
MUT
1 - 1
CAA
54%
22%
24%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
CAA
0 - 1
HOI
64%
19%
17%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
WIN
6 - 0
CAA
66%
18%
17%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
DOU
2 - 1
CAA
35%
24%
41%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
CAA
3 - 3
TCS
78%
14%
9%
|
43 | 28 | 15 | -1 |