South Bend Lions vs Toledo Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80%
Win probability
2.92
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.9%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.2%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.4%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
12.5%
7.5%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Bend Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2021 |
DAY
0 - 5
SBL
40%
22%
38%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
KAL
1 - 0
SBL
31%
22%
47%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Toledo Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2021 |
TVF
5 - 5
OAK
21%
20%
60%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
FWA
1 - 2
TVF
72%
16%
12%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2021 |
TVF
5 - 2
DAY
14%
18%
67%
|
15 | 30 | 15 | +4 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
MIC
3 - 1
TVF
91%
7%
2%
|
15 | 52 | 37 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2019 |
AAA
2 - 0
TVF
87%
9%
4%
|
16 | 36 | 20 | -1 |