South Adelaide Panthers vs Adelaide City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.7%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.2%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.2%
71%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.9%
0-3
8.9%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.3%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.7%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.4%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-55%
-52%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
4º
12º
10º
31
1º
9º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 56 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 53 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
31 | 34 |
3º
|
43.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
31 | 32 |
4º
|
38.5% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 30 |
5º
|
92.5% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 28 |
6º
|
31.5% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 27 |
7º
|
34.5% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 26 |
8º
|
28% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
49% | |
|
|
10º
|
19 | 20 |
10º
|
93.5% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 16 |
11º
|
77.5% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 15 |
12º
|
84% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
93.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
6.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Adelaide Panthers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
6 - 2
SAP
64%
18%
18%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
NEM
2 - 1
SAP
75%
15%
10%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
SAP
1 - 3
ADE
16%
20%
65%
|
22 | 41 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
CUM
0 - 7
SAP
35%
23%
42%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
SAP
1 - 3
CRO
39%
23%
37%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Adelaide City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2023 |
ADE
4 - 0
WAD
81%
13%
7%
|
43 | 19 | 24 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2022 |
ADE
2 - 1
ADE
60%
23%
18%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
CAM
2 - 3
ADE
31%
25%
44%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
ADE
0 - 0
CAM
59%
23%
18%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2022 |
ADE
2 - 2
ADE
6%
13%
81%
|
43 | 74 | 31 | 0 |