Sousa vs Treze analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.9%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
37.3%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sousa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
CEN
0 - 0
SOU
32%
28%
40%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
CAU
1 - 0
SOU
23%
24%
53%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
SOU
0 - 2
ARN
36%
26%
38%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -2 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
ARN
4 - 1
SOU
54%
23%
22%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
SOU
7 - 0
CAU
68%
20%
12%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Treze
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
TRE
0 - 0
CAM
46%
27%
28%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
ARN
2 - 2
TRE
60%
22%
18%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
TRE
3 - 1
CAU
74%
17%
9%
|
46 | 28 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
CAU
0 - 4
TRE
25%
26%
50%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | +1 |
| 11 Jul. 2021 |
TRE
2 - 2
ARN
41%
27%
32%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |