Sousa vs Globo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.6%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
16.7%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sousa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2022 |
GLO
0 - 0
SOU
31%
27%
43%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
SOU
3 - 2
AFO
60%
23%
17%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
ICA
2 - 2
SOU
26%
27%
48%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
SOU
2 - 0
CRA
81%
15%
5%
|
48 | 21 | 27 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
SPC
2 - 3
SOU
27%
27%
46%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Globo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2022 |
GLO
0 - 0
SOU
31%
27%
43%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
CRA
2 - 1
GLO
12%
19%
69%
|
42 | 20 | 22 | -2 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
GLO
0 - 2
ARN
27%
26%
48%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
AFO
1 - 1
GLO
42%
26%
32%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2022 |
RFC
1 - 0
GLO
66%
21%
14%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | -1 |