Sousa vs CSP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.2%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
30.9%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sousa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2017 |
GUA
3 - 1
SOU
49%
25%
27%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2017 |
SOU
3 - 1
GUA
41%
25%
34%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Jun. 2017 |
CEN
0 - 1
SOU
39%
27%
34%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2017 |
SOU
2 - 2
SDJ
34%
26%
40%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2017 |
COR
1 - 0
SOU
41%
26%
34%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
CSP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
SOU
1 - 1
CSP
49%
24%
26%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
CSP
0 - 2
CAM
22%
27%
51%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2017 |
CSP
2 - 0
PAR
44%
24%
32%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | +2 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
ATL
2 - 0
CSP
33%
26%
40%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | -2 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
IPB
1 - 2
CSP
24%
21%
55%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | 0 |