Sousa vs Coritiba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.6%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.6%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
2.3%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
6.7%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.9%
73.5%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
14.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
25.1%
0-2
15.4%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.4%
0-3
10.8%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
14.4%
0-4
5.7%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
7.2%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sousa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
SOU
0 - 0
TRE
26%
25%
49%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2013 |
CSP
5 - 0
SOU
47%
24%
29%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -2 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
SOU
1 - 1
BOT
28%
26%
46%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
AUT
1 - 1
SOU
47%
24%
29%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
SOU
0 - 2
CAM
24%
24%
52%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
COT
3 - 1
LON
81%
13%
6%
|
81 | 61 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
ATP
3 - 1
COT
35%
26%
39%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
COT
6 - 0
RIO
87%
10%
3%
|
81 | 47 | 34 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
TCW
0 - 2
COT
11%
20%
69%
|
81 | 52 | 29 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
COT
3 - 2
ARA
86%
11%
3%
|
81 | 52 | 29 | 0 |