Sousa vs Botafogo PB analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.6%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.2%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
58.9%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+52%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sousa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2020 |
CAM
0 - 0
SOU
44%
27%
29%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2020 |
SOU
2 - 2
CAM
39%
27%
35%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2020 |
SOU
1 - 1
ATL
33%
26%
41%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 2020 |
SOU
1 - 1
BOT
12%
20%
68%
|
41 | 62 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2020 |
BOT
1 - 1
SOU
84%
12%
4%
|
40 | 62 | 22 | +1 |
Matches
Botafogo PB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
SAN
0 - 1
BOT
53%
24%
24%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2021 |
BOT
0 - 0
CON
41%
25%
34%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2021 |
TRE
1 - 0
BOT
24%
26%
51%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2021 |
BOT
1 - 1
CEA
17%
23%
59%
|
57 | 79 | 22 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2021 |
CRB
2 - 1
BOT
63%
21%
16%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | -1 |