Somerset Eagles vs Somerset Trojans analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.5%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.3%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
39.8%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Somerset Eagles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
SOU
2 - 1
SOM
43%
22%
35%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
STG
1 - 0
SOM
52%
21%
27%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
HOR
4 - 2
SOM
62%
18%
20%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
NOR
0 - 1
SOM
54%
21%
25%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2021 |
DEV
4 - 0
SOM
49%
22%
29%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Somerset Trojans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
SOM
5 - 0
XRW
57%
20%
23%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
SOU
3 - 3
SOM
35%
23%
42%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
DEV
2 - 0
SOM
45%
23%
32%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
SOM
1 - 1
PHC
41%
23%
36%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
HOR
1 - 0
SOM
53%
21%
26%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -1 |