Somerset Eagles vs Colts Devonshire analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.8%
23.9%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Somerset Eagles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 2021 |
SOM
1 - 2
SOM
39%
22%
40%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
SOU
2 - 1
SOM
43%
22%
35%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
STG
1 - 0
SOM
52%
21%
27%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
HOR
4 - 2
SOM
62%
18%
20%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
NOR
0 - 1
SOM
54%
21%
25%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Colts Devonshire
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2021 |
DEV
0 - 5
DEV
34%
24%
43%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
PHC
5 - 1
DEV
63%
18%
18%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
ROB
1 - 1
DEV
65%
18%
17%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
DEV
0 - 1
HOR
28%
20%
52%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
DEV
3 - 1
SOU
46%
23%
31%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | +1 |