Sol de América vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
36.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sol de América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2021 |
CCP
1 - 0
AME
61%
22%
17%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2021 |
GUA
2 - 2
AME
46%
26%
27%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
AME
0 - 2
LIB
28%
26%
47%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2021 |
LQE
0 - 0
AME
44%
26%
30%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
AME
0 - 2
OLI
25%
24%
51%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2021 |
NAC
0 - 0
12O
62%
22%
16%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2021 |
NAC
2 - 0
GUA
38%
27%
35%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
NAC
1 - 1
12O
63%
23%
14%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2021 |
12O
0 - 0
NAC
33%
25%
42%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
RPA
0 - 0
NAC
27%
27%
46%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |