Sol de América vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.5%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.9%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
46.6%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sol de América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
RÑU
1 - 1
AME
54%
24%
22%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
AME
1 - 1
DEP
43%
25%
32%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
LIB
3 - 0
AME
61%
24%
16%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2014 |
CCP
2 - 0
AME
73%
17%
10%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
AME
0 - 1
GEN
51%
24%
25%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2014 |
GUA
0 - 0
NAC
54%
24%
22%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
LQE
2 - 2
GUA
29%
25%
46%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2014 |
GUA
2 - 1
12O
76%
16%
8%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2014 |
GUA
2 - 3
SAN
70%
18%
11%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
OLI
1 - 2
GUA
41%
26%
34%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |