Soignies Sports vs Hornu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.5%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
30.4%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-41%
-77%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
2º
13º
8º
37
5º
13º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
76 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 58 |
2º
|
51.5% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
51.5% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 53 |
4º
|
83% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
83% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
37 | 40 |
8º
|
86% | |
|
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
86% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 28 |
14º
|
86% | |
|
14º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
86% | |
|
16º
|
24 | 24 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Soignies Sports
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
ANT
6 - 1
SOI
30%
22%
48%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
SOI
3 - 0
PAC
42%
24%
35%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
LER
3 - 4
SOI
25%
21%
54%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
SOI
3 - 4
RFC
53%
21%
26%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
FLE
2 - 2
SOI
40%
22%
39%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Hornu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
HOR
4 - 0
RMO
73%
16%
11%
|
23 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2023 |
ANT
2 - 4
HOR
50%
21%
29%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
PER
0 - 3
HOR
62%
19%
19%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
HOR
3 - 2
PAC
28%
23%
50%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
COU
1 - 1
HOR
37%
23%
40%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |