Sofapaka vs Nzoia Sugar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.1%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
38.4%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
6º
12º
11º
63
1º
11º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 70 |
1º
|
80% | |
|
2º
|
66 | 69 |
2º
|
62% | |
|
3º
|
63 | 66 |
3º
|
36.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
63 | 66 |
4º
|
34.5% | |
|
6º
|
60 | 64 |
5º
|
39% | |
|
5º
|
63 | 64 |
6º
|
43% | |
|
7º
|
51 | 51 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
46 | 47 |
9º
|
98% | |
|
12º
|
40 | 43 |
10º
|
27.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
41 | 42 |
11º
|
27% | |
|
10º
|
41 | 41 |
12º
|
48% | |
|
14º
|
36 | 37 |
13º
|
50% | |
|
13º
|
36 | 36 |
14º
|
55.5% | |
|
15º
|
34 | 35 |
15º
|
52% | |
|
16º
|
29 | 33 |
16º
|
78% | |
|
17º
|
23 | 24 |
17º
|
97.5% | |
|
18º
|
12 | 13 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
0% | 2.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 97.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sofapaka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2023 |
AFC
1 - 2
SOF
53%
27%
20%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
SOF
0 - 2
BAN
42%
29%
29%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
POS
1 - 2
SOF
36%
30%
34%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2023 |
KCB
0 - 0
SOF
54%
27%
20%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2023 |
POL
3 - 0
SOF
56%
26%
19%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Nzoia Sugar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2023 |
NZO
0 - 2
KCB
42%
29%
29%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
NAI
2 - 3
NZO
33%
27%
41%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
NZO
0 - 1
KAS
57%
25%
18%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
KAK
0 - 2
NZO
46%
27%
27%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
AFC
1 - 0
NZO
40%
28%
32%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |