Premier League . Jor. 34

Sofapaka vs Nzoia Sugar analysis

Sofapaka Nzoia Sugar
58 ELO 62
-3.7% Tilt -14%
2516º General ELO ranking 2642º
11º Country ELO ranking 13º
ELO win probability
34.1%
Sofapaka
27.4%
Draw
38.4%
Nzoia Sugar

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.1%
Win probability
Sofapaka
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
38.4%
Win probability
Nzoia Sugar
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Sofapaka
-1%
-34%
Nzoia Sugar

Points and table prediction

Sofapaka
Their league position
Nzoia Sugar
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
12º
11º
63
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Gor Mahia
67
70
80%
Tusker FC
66
69
62%
Police FC
63
66
36.5%
Nzoia Sugar
63
66
34.5%
Bandari
60
64
39%
KCB
63
64
43%
AFC Leopards
51
51
100%
Kakamega Homeboyz
49
49
100%
Ulinzi Stars
46
47
98%
Posta Rangers
12º
40
43
10º
27.5%
Sofapaka
11º
41
42
11º
27%
Kariobangi Sharks
10º
41
41
12º
48%
FC Talanta
14º
36
37
13º
50%
Bidco United FC
13º
36
36
14º
55.5%
Nairobi City Stars
15º
34
35
15º
52%
Muhoroni Youth
16º
29
33
16º
78%
Mathare United
17º
23
24
17º
97.5%
Vihiga Bullets
18º
12
13
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Sofapaka
Nzoia Sugar
CAF Champions League
0% 2.5%
Mid-table
100% 97.5%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Sofapaka
Nzoia Sugar
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Sofapaka
Sofapaka
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Jun. 2023
AFC
AFC Leopards
1 - 2
Sofapaka
SOF
53%
27%
20%
57 63 6 0
03 Jun. 2023
SOF
Sofapaka
0 - 2
Bandari
BAN
42%
29%
29%
58 61 3 -1
27 May. 2023
POS
Posta Rangers
1 - 2
Sofapaka
SOF
36%
30%
34%
57 55 2 +1
15 May. 2023
KCB
KCB
0 - 0
Sofapaka
SOF
54%
27%
20%
57 63 6 0
10 May. 2023
POL
Police FC
3 - 0
Sofapaka
SOF
56%
26%
19%
58 64 6 -1

Matches

Nzoia Sugar
Nzoia Sugar
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Jun. 2023
NZO
Nzoia Sugar
0 - 2
KCB
KCB
42%
29%
29%
63 63 0 0
03 Jun. 2023
NAI
Nairobi City Stars
2 - 3
Nzoia Sugar
NZO
33%
27%
41%
63 55 8 0
27 May. 2023
NZO
Nzoia Sugar
0 - 1
Kariobangi Sharks
KAS
57%
25%
18%
63 54 9 0
14 May. 2023
KAK
Kakamega Homeboyz
0 - 2
Nzoia Sugar
NZO
46%
27%
27%
63 64 1 0
07 May. 2023
AFC
AFC Leopards
1 - 0
Nzoia Sugar
NZO
40%
28%
32%
63 64 1 0
X