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Brasiliense. 1ª Fase, Matchday 3

Unaí vs Ceilândia analysis

Unaí Ceilândia
46 ELO 25
124% Tilt 64%
2163º General ELO ranking 5627º
128º Country ELO ranking 313º
ELO win probability
79.8%
Unaí
10.5%
Draw
9.7%
Ceilândia

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.8%
Win probability
Unaí
3.97
Expected goals
12-0
<0%
+12
<0%
11-0
<0%
12-1
<0%
+11
0.1%
10-0
0.1%
11-1
0.1%
12-2
<0%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.2%
11-2
<0%
+9
0.5%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.4%
10-2
0.1%
11-3
<0%
+8
1.2%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
1%
9-2
0.3%
10-3
0.1%
+7
2.6%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
1.9%
8-2
0.7%
9-3
0.2%
10-4
<0%
+6
5.1%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
3.4%
7-2
1.5%
8-3
0.4%
9-4
0.1%
+5
8.7%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
5.1%
6-2
2.6%
7-3
0.8%
8-4
0.1%
9-5
<0%
+4
12.9%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
3.9%
6-3
1.3%
7-4
0.3%
8-5
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
5%
5-3
2%
6-4
0.5%
7-5
0.1%
8-6
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
1.6%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
5%
4-3
2.5%
5-4
0.8%
6-5
0.2%
7-6
<0%
+1
15%
10.5%
Draw
0-0
0.4%
1-1
2.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
1%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
10.5%
9.7%
Win probability
Ceilândia
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
0.6%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0.1%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%