Unaí vs Capital Brasilia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.1%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
51.6%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.6%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+49%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
SOB
1 - 5
SED
50%
22%
29%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
SED
0 - 1
CEI
41%
22%
38%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
SAN
0 - 1
SED
31%
23%
46%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
SED
4 - 3
FOR
29%
21%
50%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | +2 |
| 18 Mar. 2020 |
SED
5 - 0
CEI
50%
22%
28%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Capital Brasilia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2021 |
CAP
1 - 0
LUZ
39%
25%
36%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2021 |
SAM
0 - 1
CAP
13%
17%
70%
|
44 | 15 | 29 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2021 |
CAP
3 - 0
DOM
26%
24%
50%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | +3 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
GAM
0 - 1
CAP
75%
15%
10%
|
39 | 55 | 16 | +2 |
| 16 Aug. 2020 |
DOM
1 - 0
CAP
61%
20%
19%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | -1 |